(FOUNDATION FOR INTERNATIONAL FREEDOM)

THE DOGS OF WAR

Commentary 6-2023

October 12, 2023

Members and Friends:

First Thoughts on the Hamas Invasion:

1. The Hamas Assault/Invasion of Israel on October 7HT was planned for a long time but somehow managed to outwit the vaunted Israeli intelligence agencies.
2. Iran has been providing funding and armaments to Hamas and Hezbollah for a long time. It must have set the date (October 7th) and pulled the trigger. The date neatly coincided with the 50th anniversary of the 1973 war off liberation..
3. Iran is a highly civilized country that is still ruled by a Shia theocracy that has been in conflict with the much larger Sunni branch of Islam since Mohammad died in the 7th Century. They believe that Ali was the rightful Heir of Mohammad.
4. Although Mecca, the birthplace of Islam is in Saudi Arabia, the Sunni world has become increasingly secular due to its immense oil reserves and revenues. The UAE countries with less oil production have become highly Westernized.
5. The historic Abraham Accords initiated by the Trump administration have tied the UAE countries more closely to Israel in commercial relationships. They are already massively tied into the West through trade and transportation..
6. The negotiations between Israel and Saudi Arabia for closer commercial relations were well underway. This potential historic relationship between the head of Islam and their Jewish archenemy must have scarred the hell out off the Ayatollahs in Iran.
7. Iran’s closest partners are Russia and China, and also North Korea, Cuba and Venezuela are a Club of Dictators. This group was called the “Axis of Evil” by President George W. Bush.
8. Iran certainly would have consulted with Putin and Xi regarding the proposed attack.
9. No Arab country has criticized the Hamas attacks.
10. If the Hamas attack on Israel precipitated a new war in the Middle East
11. The opening of a war in the Middle East will certainly benefit these dictators:
a. It will detract from the focus on the Ukrainian war;
b. Increase costs to the Western countries. c. It will certainly show their weakness in their support of the Israeli (Jews) versus the Palestinians living in “Apartheid” Gaza.
c. It will certainly show their weakness in their support of the Israeli (Jews) versus the Palestinians living in “Apartheid” Gaza.
d. It will increase the divisions among the Western countries on how to respond. (e.g. Palestinian supporters in our colleges, BLM and some politicians).
12. These events dictated a response from Iran. Ayatollah Khamenei pulled the trigger for Hamas assault to begin on Saturday, October 7th, a Holy Day, and in the immortal words of Julius Caesar (by W. Shakespeare)) “LET SLIP THE DOGS OF WAR”
The next minor question is what the hell should we do about it??

Byron Kahrs Varme